Cesar Conda frets about post-9/11 prisoners, while I question the heart of the fretting
Cesar Conda: Buried by yesterday’s news coverage of the Sotomayor nomination was the official report released by the Pentagon showing that one of every seven — or 14 percent — of suspected terrorists formerly held at Gitmo are either confirmed or suspected of having returned to terrorism.
No wonder Democrats — even staunch liberals like Senator Barbara Boxer — are worried about transferring Gitmo detainees to their States. “We only have one max security prison in California and it’s, right now, overbooked, that’s the case,” Boxer told CNN. “In all, we are worried and we want to to see what the plan is.” http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/05/24/boxer-worried-about-transferring-gitmo-detainees/
Senate Democrats shouldn’t be worried at all. This politically brilliant Administration is likely to propose transferring the Gitmo terrorism suspects to States represented by Senate Republicans, whose votes they would lose anyway on the bill to fund the closing of Gitmo.
You heard it here first.
My response:
Cesar, I appreciate the tone of your notice and others of yours on this subject, even the giddier of them (re: Yucca Mountain Home for Terrorists), and I appreciate the understanding you have for the political difficulties (I second your Republican district incarceration hunch) and enormous legal complexities. In that spirit, I want to respond to a couple of things. 14% recidivism is not a number in a vacuum. It’s a much lower percentage than the recidivism for our home-grown non-political prison population which is around 60%–higher or lower depending on the amount a time served and the crime committed. But comparatively, 14% recidivism is not just measurably but significantly lower than the recidivism for this country’s non-political prisoners.
My question–and at the risk of refighting the last war–given that the last administration assured the public that all the post-9/11 prisoners were the worst of the worst terrorists captured in the field, and given the last administration’s public fears about releasing post-9/11 prisoners because they might return to the field of battle, why did the last administration release so many at-risk recidivists? I mean, released them without charge? Released them without trial? My point is: Perhaps 14% was considered an acceptable risk. And perhaps 86% of the released post-9/11 prisoners that have not returned to terrorists activities was an acceptable reward.
Former Vice President Cheney joked the other day that perhaps we were too lenient. But if we’re going to discuss the 14% we must discuss the 86% and honestly debate the rewards and risks. I don’t mean necessarily to question the decision to release these post-9/11 prisoners but to question the way in which the post-9/11 prisoners were characterized to the public–again, last war stuff, no doubt. I’ll get to the remaining post-9/11 prisoners below. For now, I also don’t mean to diminish the risk of 14% recidivism but ask that we consider that percentage in the context of both post-9/11 prisoner populations in U.S. custody and non-political prisoners in U.S. custody. Naturally, the post-9/11 prisoners remaining in Guantanomo pose a higher recidivist risk–otherwise they’d have been released already– though a third have already been cleared for release.
But because of the recidivist risks, all the remaining post-9/11 prisoners should be charged with civilian or military crimes, put on trial in civilian or military courts, and if or when found guilty, sentenced to civilian or military super-maximum prisons. I won’t touch on the fate of Guantanomo or the prison debate per se; you and I are too far apart on that one, my good friend. Another day. But capture/conviction or capture/release of political and non-political prisoners contains risks and rewards. That’s one of the difficult and complex consequences of fighting and capturing Jihadist mercenaries in today’s world. We should have a serious debate about that and not delude ourselves with political en garde-ism.
Posted by DB
Posted by DB
Posted by DB